Collision Risk Mitigation in Geostationary Orbit

The short- and long-term effects of spacecraft explosions, as a function of the end-of-life re-orbit altitude above the geostationary orbit (GEO), were analyzed in terms of their additional contribution to the debris flux in the GEO ring. The simulated debris clouds were propagated for 72yrs, taking into account all the relevant orbital perturbations.The results obtained show that 6–7 additional explosions in GEO would be sufficient, in the long term, to double the current collision risk with sizable objects in GEO. Unfortunately, even if spacecraft were to re-orbit between 300 and 500km above GEO, this would not significantly improve the situation. In fact, an altitude increase of at least 2000km would have to be adopted to reduce by one order of magnitude the long-term risk of collision among geostationary satellites and explosion fragments. The optimal debris mitigation strategy should be a compromise between the reliability and effectiveness of spacecraft end-of-life passivation, the re-orbit altitude and the acceptable debris background in the GEO ring. However, for as long as the re-orbit altitudes currently used are less than 500km above GEO, new spacecraft explosions must be avoided in order to preserve the geostationary environment over the long term.     

中国空间碎片防护研究工作进展

回顾了2006年中国空间碎片防护研究工作的情况,简要介绍了MODAOST软件研究的相关活动,以及风险评估及防护结构优化技术、超高速撞击横向校验、部件/分系统和空间碎片撞击感知技术。     

A Geosynchronous Orbit Search Strategy

Since more than 10 years there is evidence that small-size space debris is accumulating in the geosynchronous orbit (GEO), probably as the result of breakups. Two break-ups have been reported in GEO. The 1978 break-up of an EKRAN 2 satellite, SSN 10365, was identified in 1992, and in 1992 a Titan 3C Transtage, SSN 3432, break-up produced at least twenty observable pieces. Subsequently several nations performed optical surveys of the GEO region in the form of independent observation campaigns. Such surveys suffer from the fact that the field of view of optical telescopes is small compared with the total area covered by the GEO ring. As a consequence only a small volume of the orbital element-magnitude-space is covered by each individual survey. Results from these surveys are thus affected by observational biases and therefore difficult to compare. This paper describes the development of a common search strategy to overcome these limitations. The strategy optimizes the sampling for objects in orbits similar to the orbits of the known GEO population but does not exclude the detection of objects with other orbital planes. A properly designed common search strategy clearly eases the comparison of results from different groups and the extrapolation from the sparse (biased) samples to the entire GEO environment.     

Tether Satellite System Collision Study

A study was performed to determine the probability of collision with resident space objects and untrackable debris for the tether component of the Tethered Satellite System (TSS) after it broke away from the Space Shuttle orbiter (mission STS-75) in February 1996. Both an analytical and a numerical approach were used in this study, and the results obtained with these two methods were found to be in good agreement. These results show that the deployed tether is expected to have been impacted by several particles 0.1mm or larger in size. The probability of collision with objects 10cm in size or larger was on the order of 10^–3 per month. Since the severed tether reentered within one month after deployment, the collision hazard to other objects while in orbit was small. The analytical methods used in this study are useful for tether collision evaluations in general.     

空间碎片防护结构设计优化理论方法研究

航天器空间碎片防护结构设计优化在国际上属前沿课题，防护结构设计优化理论方法是其关键技术之一。在防护优化理论模型及其优化算法研究方面取得了突破性进展，建立了综合各类典型防护结构构型的统一的防护优化数学模型，提出了解决防护优化问题的几种算法：混合遗传算法，改进的差异演化算法和混合差异演化算法。最后采用航天器防护优化算例对防护优化理论方法进行了测试考核，优化结果表明了本文工作的可行性和有效性。     

基于磨粒分析方法的发动机磨损故障智能诊断技术

磨粒是研究磨损状态时最直接、最重要的信息元，通过对滑油中的磨粒进行监测与分析来判断机械设备的磨损情况，可以预防并监测机械设备的磨损故障。本文运用显微形态学方法建立了一套磨粒显微特征描述体系，以提取磨粒信息并进行磨损故障的模式识别；并结合摩擦学理论和人工智能方法，实现对发动机磨损故障的智能诊断和预测。     

Spacecraft survivability in the natural debris environment near the stable Earth-Moon Lagrange points

The theoretical analysis of the motion of natural space debris near the stable Earth-Moon Lagrange Points, $L_4$ and $L_5$, is presented with a focus on the potential debris risks to spacecraft operating near these points. Specifically, the research formulates a debris propagation model using four-body dynamics, then applies candidate probabilistic survivability models to a notional spacecraft operating at the $L_4$ and $L_5$ Lagrange points to quantify the collision risks to the spacecraft from natural debris particles. Of the survivability models implemented, the natural debris collision risks to spacecraft survivability are found to be incredibly low, but mitigation strategies to reduce the risk further are identified in this study. Overall, research into stable Lagrange point natural debris propagation improves understanding of the collision risks posed by the naturally occurring Kordylewski clouds and enhances operational planning for Lagrange point space missions.     

空间碎片碰撞预警研究

介绍了空间碎片的分布和危害，阐明了航天器进行碎片预警规避的必要性，讨论了碎片碰撞预警技术中的关键问题，用已有的碰撞和规避实例对自行研制的软件进行了计算检验，结果证明了软件的正确性，也说明了国内进行碎片预警工作的可行性．     

便携式充电设备检测系统的研究与设计

为了便于充电设备现场检测工作,设计了一种便携式直流充电设备现场检测系统。该系统功能具有完善的测试功能,能够方便的对直流充电设备进行检验测试,完全满足直流充电设备运行检测的需求。该系统具有小型化、便携化的优点,有利于提高现场检测效率,保证了充电设备运行的安全性及稳定性。